Trader sentiment hinges on the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing Miami's March 26 high at 82°F, fueling the narrow lead for 82-83°F (32.5%) over 80-81°F (28.5%), as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converge on 81-84°F amid high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow caps peaks at 81°F, while delayed development allows 83°F+ inland heating—and slight warm biases in recent runs from neutral ENSO patterns exceeding March's 79°F climatology. Upcoming 00z model updates could pivot odds if convective activity emerges, underscoring forecast divergence in short-range tropical thermodynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月26日邁阿密的最高溫度?
3月26日邁阿密的最高溫度?
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 10%
$12,625 交易量
$12,625 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
1%
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 10%
$12,625 交易量
$12,625 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment hinges on the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing Miami's March 26 high at 82°F, fueling the narrow lead for 82-83°F (32.5%) over 80-81°F (28.5%), as ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converge on 81-84°F amid high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow caps peaks at 81°F, while delayed development allows 83°F+ inland heating—and slight warm biases in recent runs from neutral ENSO patterns exceeding March's 79°F climatology. Upcoming 00z model updates could pivot odds if convective activity emerges, underscoring forecast divergence in short-range tropical thermodynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions