Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint Munich's highest temperature on March 28 around 8-10°C, fueling trader sentiment with 9°C (25.5%) and 8°C (24.0%) neck-and-neck, as mild westerly flows deliver Atlantic warmth amid lingering stratiform cloud cover that caps diurnal heating. DWD observations confirm recent overnight lows near 2°C, setting a baseline for modest daytime peaks, while historical March 28 data (average high 10°C) tempers optimism for 11°C+. Model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and afternoon insolation, with 10°C (17.0%) viable if clearer skies emerge; traders eye 12Z updates for resolution-defining shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月28日慕尼黑最高溫度?
3月28日慕尼黑最高溫度?
8°C 21%
9°C 20%
10°C 17%
11°C 15%
5°C或以下
12%
6°C
11%
7°C
14%
8°C
24%
9°C
25%
10°C
17%
11°C
13%
12°C
11%
13°C
7%
14°C
10%
15°C或以上
2%
8°C 21%
9°C 20%
10°C 17%
11°C 15%
5°C或以下
12%
6°C
11%
7°C
14%
8°C
24%
9°C
25%
10°C
17%
11°C
13%
12°C
11%
13°C
7%
14°C
10%
15°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint Munich's highest temperature on March 28 around 8-10°C, fueling trader sentiment with 9°C (25.5%) and 8°C (24.0%) neck-and-neck, as mild westerly flows deliver Atlantic warmth amid lingering stratiform cloud cover that caps diurnal heating. DWD observations confirm recent overnight lows near 2°C, setting a baseline for modest daytime peaks, while historical March 28 data (average high 10°C) tempers optimism for 11°C+. Model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and afternoon insolation, with 10°C (17.0%) viable if clearer skies emerge; traders eye 12Z updates for resolution-defining shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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