Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Paris high of 10-12°C on March 28, with 11°C (22.5%) edging out 12°C (20%) and 10°C (18.5%) amid model spreads of 2-3°C due to variable cloud cover from an incoming Atlantic low-pressure trough. Météo-France's AROME high-resolution runs reinforce this, projecting peaks near 11°C under partly cloudy skies, while cooler outliers near 9°C reflect potential northerly winds strengthening overnight. Historical March 28 norms average 12°C, but recent cool anomalies and diurnal timing—max temps typically mid-afternoon—keep 13°C (15%) viable yet riskier, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
12°C 25%
13°C 24%
11°C 22%
10°C 19%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
10%
9°C
18%
10°C
19%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
18%
14°C
9%
15°C
6%
16°C
9%
17°C or higher
9%
12°C 25%
13°C 24%
11°C 22%
10°C 19%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
10%
9°C
18%
10°C
19%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
18%
14°C
9%
15°C
6%
16°C
9%
17°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward a Paris high of 10-12°C on March 28, with 11°C (22.5%) edging out 12°C (20%) and 10°C (18.5%) amid model spreads of 2-3°C due to variable cloud cover from an incoming Atlantic low-pressure trough. Météo-France's AROME high-resolution runs reinforce this, projecting peaks near 11°C under partly cloudy skies, while cooler outliers near 9°C reflect potential northerly winds strengthening overnight. Historical March 28 norms average 12°C, but recent cool anomalies and diurnal timing—max temps typically mid-afternoon—keep 13°C (15%) viable yet riskier, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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