Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？

5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？

icon for 5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？

5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？

Ended: 5月 8

9月 21

9月 22

Ended: 5月 8

9月 21

9月 22

19°C 100.0%

12°C或以下 <1%

13°C <1%

14°C <1%

Polymarket

$84,905 交易量

19°C 100.0%

12°C或以下 <1%

13°C <1%

14°C <1%

Polymarket

$84,905 交易量

12°C或以下

$931 交易量

否

13°C

$1,471 交易量

否

14°C

$1,582 交易量

否

15°C

$1,506 交易量

否

16℃

$5,845 交易量

否

17°C

$10,528 交易量

否

18°C

$18,600 交易量

否

19°C

$13,935 交易量

是

20°C

$13,251 交易量

否

21°C

$10,955 交易量

否

22°C或以上

$6,302 交易量

否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,905
結束日期
2026-05-08
市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,905
結束日期
2026-05-08
市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

相關

icon for 9月22日威靈頓的最高氣溫會是14°C嗎？

9月22日威靈頓的最高氣溫會是14°C嗎？

53%
是
icon for 9月21日威靈頓的最高氣溫會是15°C嗎？

9月21日威靈頓的最高氣溫會是15°C嗎？

99%
是
icon for Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 15°C or below on May 20?

Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 15°C or below on May 20?

50%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19°C" at 100%, followed by "12°C或以下" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？" has generated $84.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？" is "19°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12°C或以下" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "5月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.