Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 26°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 25, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that maximum at the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light east-to-southeast winds around 3 m/s. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—ECMWF and GFS ensembles—showing daytime heating capped by lingering mid-level clouds from a departing frontal system, following cooler days (17–22°C highs April 21–24) after a 30°C peak on April 19. Current morning observations near 13–15°C support a steady rise without extreme insolation. Realistic challenges include unanticipated full-sky clearing boosting solar radiation by 10–20% to reach 27°C+, though forecast uncertainty remains low with agreement across agencies; final resolution awaits evening observations and post-midnight official report.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 25?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$59,746 交易量
$59,746 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$59,746 交易量
$59,746 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 23, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 26°C high temperature in Wuhan on April 25, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that maximum at the official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light east-to-southeast winds around 3 m/s. This positioning stems from recent model consensus—ECMWF and GFS ensembles—showing daytime heating capped by lingering mid-level clouds from a departing frontal system, following cooler days (17–22°C highs April 21–24) after a 30°C peak on April 19. Current morning observations near 13–15°C support a steady rise without extreme insolation. Realistic challenges include unanticipated full-sky clearing boosting solar radiation by 10–20% to reach 27°C+, though forecast uncertainty remains low with agreement across agencies; final resolution awaits evening observations and post-midnight official report.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions