Current forecasts from meteorological agencies show Wuhan's overnight low settling at 27°C under typical August subtropical conditions, with daytime highs near 34°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to alter radiative cooling. Historical data confirm average August lows of 26–27°C at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station, aligning with current model consensus and supporting the market's 99.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in humidity, heavy overnight rain, or a sharp cold front—developments unlikely given the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日武漢最低氣溫?
27°C 99.5%
24°C 19%
26°C 19%
22°C or below <1%
$2,794 交易量
$2,794 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
24°C 19%
26°C 19%
22°C or below <1%
$2,794 交易量
$2,794 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies show Wuhan's overnight low settling at 27°C under typical August subtropical conditions, with daytime highs near 34°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to alter radiative cooling. Historical data confirm average August lows of 26–27°C at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station, aligning with current model consensus and supporting the market's 99.5% implied probability for exactly 27°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in humidity, heavy overnight rain, or a sharp cold front—developments unlikely given the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions