Recent July 2026 ISM Services PMI at 54.1, just below consensus forecasts, highlighted resilient expansion in business activity (59.1) and new orders (57.2) amid ongoing services-sector strength, though employment contracted again to 47.4 and prices paid remained elevated near 70. These mixed signals, alongside July manufacturing PMI strength at 55.6 and broader labor-market softening, underpin the tight Polymarket distribution favoring 53.0–54.9 ranges. Traders are pricing in continued moderate growth above the 50 threshold, tempered by tariff effects, energy-cost pressures, and hiring restraint that could weigh on August readings ahead of the September 3 release. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether demand momentum will offset employment and price headwinds in the latest survey.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於53.0–53.9 25%
54.0–54.9 23%
52.0–52.9 20%
55.0–55.9 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
<50.0
4%
50.0–50.9
7%
51.0–51.9
8%
52.0–52.9
20%
53.0–53.9
25%
54.0–54.9
23%
55.0–55.9
13%
56.0–56.9
8%
57.0–57.9
7%
58.0+
10%
53.0–53.9 25%
54.0–54.9 23%
52.0–52.9 20%
55.0–55.9 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
<50.0
$40 交易量
4%
50.0–50.9
$45 交易量
7%
51.0–51.9
$80 交易量
8%
52.0–52.9
$142 交易量
20%
53.0–53.9
$83 交易量
25%
54.0–54.9
$100 交易量
23%
55.0–55.9
$40 交易量
13%
56.0–56.9
$40 交易量
8%
57.0–57.9
$40 交易量
7%
58.0+
$78 交易量
10%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 ISM Services PMI at 54.1, just below consensus forecasts, highlighted resilient expansion in business activity (59.1) and new orders (57.2) amid ongoing services-sector strength, though employment contracted again to 47.4 and prices paid remained elevated near 70. These mixed signals, alongside July manufacturing PMI strength at 55.6 and broader labor-market softening, underpin the tight Polymarket distribution favoring 53.0–54.9 ranges. Traders are pricing in continued moderate growth above the 50 threshold, tempered by tariff effects, energy-cost pressures, and hiring restraint that could weigh on August readings ahead of the September 3 release. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether demand momentum will offset employment and price headwinds in the latest survey.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$688結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 ISM Services PMI at 54.1, just below consensus forecasts, highlighted resilient expansion in business activity (59.1) and new orders (57.2) amid ongoing services-sector strength, though employment contracted again to 47.4 and prices paid remained elevated near 70. These mixed signals, alongside July manufacturing PMI strength at 55.6 and broader labor-market softening, underpin the tight Polymarket distribution favoring 53.0–54.9 ranges. Traders are pricing in continued moderate growth above the 50 threshold, tempered by tariff effects, energy-cost pressures, and hiring restraint that could weigh on August readings ahead of the September 3 release. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether demand momentum will offset employment and price headwinds in the latest survey.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$688結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent July 2026 ISM Services PMI at 54.1, just below consensus forecasts, highlighted resilient expansion in business activity (59.1) and new orders (57.2) amid ongoing services-sector strength, though employment contracted again to 47.4 and prices paid remained elevated near 70. These mixed signals, alongside July manufacturing PMI strength at 55.6 and broader labor-market softening, underpin the tight Polymarket distribution favoring 53.0–54.9 ranges. Traders are pricing in continued moderate growth above the 50 threshold, tempered by tariff effects, energy-cost pressures, and hiring restraint that could weigh on August readings ahead of the September 3 release. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether demand momentum will offset employment and price headwinds in the latest survey.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions