Direct observational data from Milan-area weather stations, including reports showing an overnight low of 18°C on August 30 under clear skies and light variable winds, underpin the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. Late-summer high-pressure dominance across the Po Valley suppressed cloud cover and mixing, allowing radiational cooling to reach but not fall below this level, consistent with regional model outputs and nearby station readings around 17–18°C. Traders' confidence reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts. Unlikely challengers include minor station-specific discrepancies, official resolution criteria tied to a precise location or rounding rule, or rare post-publication data revisions, though these would require substantial new evidence to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月30日米蘭的最低溫度？
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
15°C <1%
$1,605 交易量
$1,605 交易量
2026-08-30
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
15°C <1%
$1,605 交易量
$1,605 交易量
2026-08-30
14°C or below
$47 交易量
No
15°C
$69 交易量
No
16°C
$174 交易量
No
17°C
$142 交易量
No
18°C
$937 交易量
Yes
19°C
$98 交易量
No
20°C
$20 交易量
No
21°C
$20 交易量
No
22°C
$52 交易量
No
23°C
$15 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$30 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Direct observational data from Milan-area weather stations, including reports showing an overnight low of 18°C on August 30 under clear skies and light variable winds, underpin the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. Late-summer high-pressure dominance across the Po Valley suppressed cloud cover and mixing, allowing radiational cooling to reach but not fall below this level, consistent with regional model outputs and nearby station readings around 17–18°C. Traders' confidence reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts. Unlikely challengers include minor station-specific discrepancies, official resolution criteria tied to a precise location or rounding rule, or rare post-publication data revisions, though these would require substantial new evidence to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,605結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Direct observational data from Milan-area weather stations, including reports showing an overnight low of 18°C on August 30 under clear skies and light variable winds, underpin the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. Late-summer high-pressure dominance across the Po Valley suppressed cloud cover and mixing, allowing radiational cooling to reach but not fall below this level, consistent with regional model outputs and nearby station readings around 17–18°C. Traders' confidence reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts. Unlikely challengers include minor station-specific discrepancies, official resolution criteria tied to a precise location or rounding rule, or rare post-publication data revisions, though these would require substantial new evidence to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,605結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Direct observational data from Milan-area weather stations, including reports showing an overnight low of 18°C on August 30 under clear skies and light variable winds, underpin the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. Late-summer high-pressure dominance across the Po Valley suppressed cloud cover and mixing, allowing radiational cooling to reach but not fall below this level, consistent with regional model outputs and nearby station readings around 17–18°C. Traders' confidence reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts. Unlikely challengers include minor station-specific discrepancies, official resolution criteria tied to a precise location or rounding rule, or rare post-publication data revisions, though these would require substantial new evidence to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions