Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Paris on September 7 due to persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow limiting overnight radiative cooling, consistent with current observations near 18–19°C and ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF projecting a minimum around that threshold. Historical September norms for the city show average lows near 12–13°C, yet this episode aligns with above-average warmth persisting into early autumn. The outcome could shift only if skies clear rapidly before dawn or if localized station readings record a brief dip below the threshold amid variable urban heat-island effects, though latest guidance indicates low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日巴黎最低溫度？
9月7日巴黎最低溫度？
17°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$11,091 交易量
$11,091 交易量
2026-09-07
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$11,091 交易量
$11,091 交易量
2026-09-07
15°C或以下
$1,244 交易量
否
16°C
$780 交易量
否
17°C
$1,510 交易量
是
18°C
$1,782 交易量
否
19°C
$2,311 交易量
否
20°C
$2,037 交易量
否
21°C
$707 交易量
否
22°C
$259 交易量
否
23°C
$177 交易量
否
24°C
$157 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$128 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Paris on September 7 due to persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow limiting overnight radiative cooling, consistent with current observations near 18–19°C and ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF projecting a minimum around that threshold. Historical September norms for the city show average lows near 12–13°C, yet this episode aligns with above-average warmth persisting into early autumn. The outcome could shift only if skies clear rapidly before dawn or if localized station readings record a brief dip below the threshold amid variable urban heat-island effects, though latest guidance indicates low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$11,091結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Paris on September 7 due to persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow limiting overnight radiative cooling, consistent with current observations near 18–19°C and ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF projecting a minimum around that threshold. Historical September norms for the city show average lows near 12–13°C, yet this episode aligns with above-average warmth persisting into early autumn. The outcome could shift only if skies clear rapidly before dawn or if localized station readings record a brief dip below the threshold amid variable urban heat-island effects, though latest guidance indicates low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,091結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Paris on September 7 due to persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow limiting overnight radiative cooling, consistent with current observations near 18–19°C and ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF projecting a minimum around that threshold. Historical September norms for the city show average lows near 12–13°C, yet this episode aligns with above-average warmth persisting into early autumn. The outcome could shift only if skies clear rapidly before dawn or if localized station readings record a brief dip below the threshold amid variable urban heat-island effects, though latest guidance indicates low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions