Incumbent Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, where he won reelection in 2024 by double digits. Keating secured his party's nomination on September 1 with nearly 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister advanced unopposed from his primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and the district's coastal and suburban voter base. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Keating aligns with this structural advantage. A realistic shift would require a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment strong enough to overcome the partisan baseline before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,264 交易量
$23,264 交易量
2026-11-02
比爾·基廷（民主黨）
95%
泰勒·麥克阿利斯特（共和黨）
5%
$23,264 交易量
$23,264 交易量
2026-11-02
比爾·基廷（民主黨）
$8,275 交易量
95%
泰勒·麥克阿利斯特（共和黨）
$14,989 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, where he won reelection in 2024 by double digits. Keating secured his party's nomination on September 1 with nearly 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister advanced unopposed from his primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and the district's coastal and suburban voter base. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Keating aligns with this structural advantage. A realistic shift would require a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment strong enough to overcome the partisan baseline before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$23,264結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, where he won reelection in 2024 by double digits. Keating secured his party's nomination on September 1 with nearly 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister advanced unopposed from his primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and the district's coastal and suburban voter base. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Keating aligns with this structural advantage. A realistic shift would require a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment strong enough to overcome the partisan baseline before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,264結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Bill Keating holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 9th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, where he won reelection in 2024 by double digits. Keating secured his party's nomination on September 1 with nearly 80 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee Tyler MacAllister advanced unopposed from his primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and the district's coastal and suburban voter base. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Keating aligns with this structural advantage. A realistic shift would require a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment strong enough to overcome the partisan baseline before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions