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選舉·主要

ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者

最新
Polymarket
最新

Paul LePage

$5,575 交易量

93%

詹姆斯·克拉克

$2,608 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Maine Governor Paul LePage holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability on Polymarket for the ME-02 Republican primary on June 9, driven by his unmatched name recognition from two-term statewide victories, including majorities in this rural district, alongside key endorsements from President Trump in December 2025 and NRCC inclusion in its March 2026 "MAGA Majority" program. LePage's Q1 fundraising dominance—$643,000 raised and $1.3 million cash on hand—dwarfs Army veteran James Clark's efforts, the sole notable challenger who filed in late November 2025 as a self-described moderate non-politician. With scant polling and no recent shifts, trader consensus reflects LePage's institutional edge in the open-seat race succeeding retiring Rep. Jared Golden; upset scenarios would require a major scandal, health issue, or late withdrawal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$8,183
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Maine Governor Paul LePage holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability on Polymarket for the ME-02 Republican primary on June 9, driven by his unmatched name recognition from two-term statewide victories, including majorities in this rural district, alongside key endorsements from President Trump in December 2025 and NRCC inclusion in its March 2026 "MAGA Majority" program. LePage's Q1 fundraising dominance—$643,000 raised and $1.3 million cash on hand—dwarfs Army veteran James Clark's efforts, the sole notable challenger who filed in late November 2025 as a self-described moderate non-politician. With scant polling and no recent shifts, trader consensus reflects LePage's institutional edge in the open-seat race succeeding retiring Rep. Jared Golden; upset scenarios would require a major scandal, health issue, or late withdrawal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$8,183
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul LePage" at 93%, followed by "詹姆斯·克拉克" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 18, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Paul LePage" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "詹姆斯·克拉克" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.