Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+29, his established record since 2019, and unopposed primary advancement in March 2026. The district’s partisan composition and Guest’s fundraising edge have produced repeated double-digit general-election margins, aligning with nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and would likely require late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or abrupt national political shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$62,011 交易量
$62,011 交易量
2026-11-02
麥可·格斯特（共和黨）
97%
Michael Chiaradio（民主黨）
<1%
$62,011 交易量
$62,011 交易量
2026-11-02
麥可·格斯特（共和黨）
$22,644 交易量
97%
Michael Chiaradio（民主黨）
$39,366 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+29, his established record since 2019, and unopposed primary advancement in March 2026. The district’s partisan composition and Guest’s fundraising edge have produced repeated double-digit general-election margins, aligning with nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and would likely require late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or abrupt national political shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$62,011結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+29, his established record since 2019, and unopposed primary advancement in March 2026. The district’s partisan composition and Guest’s fundraising edge have produced repeated double-digit general-election margins, aligning with nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and would likely require late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or abrupt national political shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$62,011結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+29, his established record since 2019, and unopposed primary advancement in March 2026. The district’s partisan composition and Guest’s fundraising edge have produced repeated double-digit general-election margins, aligning with nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also ran unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and would likely require late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or abrupt national political shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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