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世界·全球選舉

瑞典下任首相

Market icon
世界·全球選舉

瑞典下任首相

馬格達萊娜·安德松 57%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松 33%

Jimmie Åkesson 4.3%

埃巴·布希 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,800,219 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松 57%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松 33%

Jimmie Åkesson 4.3%

埃巴·布希 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,800,219 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松會成為瑞典的下任首相嗎？ icon

馬格達萊娜·安德松

$53,580 交易量

57%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

烏爾夫·克里斯特松

$47,425 交易量

33%

Jimmie Åkesson會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,301,876 交易量

4%

埃巴·布希會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

埃巴·布希

$278,862 交易量

1%

Nooshi Dadgostar 會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

Nooshi Dadgostar

$17,563 交易量

<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

安娜-卡琳·哈特

$18,171 交易量

<1%

阿曼達·林德會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

阿曼達·林德

$16,223 交易量

<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松

$31,797 交易量

<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

丹尼爾·赫爾登

$18,665 交易量

<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特會成為瑞典的下一任首相嗎？ icon

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特

$16,057 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 57.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, general election, reflecting recent opinion polls where Social Democrats lead with around 33% support amid a tight race between the red-green bloc and the Tidö right-wing parties. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 33% on the market despite his Moderates polling second at 17-18%, as an April Ipsos survey shows Andersson preferred by 36% of voters versus Kristersson's 16% and Jimmie Åkesson's 15%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to a full coalition government with the Sweden Democrats—including key ministries like migration—has drawn backlash, boosting opposition momentum in a contest defined by coalition negotiations and parliamentary arithmetic requiring 175 seats for a majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,800,219
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 57.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, general election, reflecting recent opinion polls where Social Democrats lead with around 33% support amid a tight race between the red-green bloc and the Tidö right-wing parties. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 33% on the market despite his Moderates polling second at 17-18%, as an April Ipsos survey shows Andersson preferred by 36% of voters versus Kristersson's 16% and Jimmie Åkesson's 15%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to a full coalition government with the Sweden Democrats—including key ministries like migration—has drawn backlash, boosting opposition momentum in a contest defined by coalition negotiations and parliamentary arithmetic requiring 175 seats for a majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,800,219
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"瑞典下任首相" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬格達萊娜·安德松" at 57%, followed by "烏爾夫·克里斯特松" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "瑞典下任首相" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "瑞典下任首相," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "瑞典下任首相" is "馬格達萊娜·安德松" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "烏爾夫·克里斯特松" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "瑞典下任首相" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.