Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent following a decisive April 2026 special election victory and an overwhelming June primary win. The district’s suburban voter base, combined with Mejia’s established fundraising edge and party infrastructure, has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic performance in this seat vacated by former Representative Mikie Sherrill. Hathaway, the Republican nominee for the second time, faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. While late developments such as national economic shifts or unforeseen campaign events could theoretically alter turnout dynamics, current evidence points to limited pathways for a competitive outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,565 交易量
$39,565 交易量
2026-11-02
Analilia Mejia（民主黨）
96%
喬·哈撒韋（共和黨）
6%
$39,565 交易量
$39,565 交易量
2026-11-02
Analilia Mejia（民主黨）
$23,591 交易量
96%
喬·哈撒韋（共和黨）
$15,975 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent following a decisive April 2026 special election victory and an overwhelming June primary win. The district’s suburban voter base, combined with Mejia’s established fundraising edge and party infrastructure, has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic performance in this seat vacated by former Representative Mikie Sherrill. Hathaway, the Republican nominee for the second time, faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. While late developments such as national economic shifts or unforeseen campaign events could theoretically alter turnout dynamics, current evidence points to limited pathways for a competitive outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$39,565結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent following a decisive April 2026 special election victory and an overwhelming June primary win. The district’s suburban voter base, combined with Mejia’s established fundraising edge and party infrastructure, has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic performance in this seat vacated by former Representative Mikie Sherrill. Hathaway, the Republican nominee for the second time, faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. While late developments such as national economic shifts or unforeseen campaign events could theoretically alter turnout dynamics, current evidence points to limited pathways for a competitive outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,565結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETAnalilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 general election in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent following a decisive April 2026 special election victory and an overwhelming June primary win. The district’s suburban voter base, combined with Mejia’s established fundraising edge and party infrastructure, has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic performance in this seat vacated by former Representative Mikie Sherrill. Hathaway, the Republican nominee for the second time, faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. While late developments such as national economic shifts or unforeseen campaign events could theoretically alter turnout dynamics, current evidence points to limited pathways for a competitive outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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