Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th congressional district as the Democratic incumbent who secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 60 percent of the vote against the same Republican challenger. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by voter registration advantages and recent performance metrics, underpins trader consensus around her reelection. Mejia consolidated party support after a competitive special primary, won her June 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, and has maintained visibility through legislative activity since taking office. Joe Hathaway’s repeat bid has shown limited momentum in a solidly Democratic seat. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, significant national political shifts, or health events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,587 交易量
$39,587 交易量
Analilia Mejia(民主黨)
96%
喬·哈撒韋(共和黨)
6%
$39,587 交易量
$39,587 交易量
Analilia Mejia(民主黨)
96%
喬·哈撒韋(共和黨)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th congressional district as the Democratic incumbent who secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 60 percent of the vote against the same Republican challenger. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by voter registration advantages and recent performance metrics, underpins trader consensus around her reelection. Mejia consolidated party support after a competitive special primary, won her June 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, and has maintained visibility through legislative activity since taking office. Joe Hathaway’s repeat bid has shown limited momentum in a solidly Democratic seat. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, significant national political shifts, or health events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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