Trader consensus reflects multiple structural barriers to charging a former president within the narrow remaining window. Presidential immunity for official acts, established by Supreme Court precedent, covers core executive decisions such as intelligence assessments during the 2016 transition. Statutes of limitations have expired on most potential offenses tied to that period, while documented grand jury reviews of Obama-era officials have produced no indictments against the former president himself. No new evidence or DOJ actions since mid-2025 have altered this trajectory. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain improbable but could include unforeseen document disclosures, narrowed immunity interpretations, or abrupt policy reversals at the Justice Department before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
5% 機率
$10,794 交易量
$10,794 交易量
2026-12-31
是
5% 機率
$10,794 交易量
$10,794 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects multiple structural barriers to charging a former president within the narrow remaining window. Presidential immunity for official acts, established by Supreme Court precedent, covers core executive decisions such as intelligence assessments during the 2016 transition. Statutes of limitations have expired on most potential offenses tied to that period, while documented grand jury reviews of Obama-era officials have produced no indictments against the former president himself. No new evidence or DOJ actions since mid-2025 have altered this trajectory. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain improbable but could include unforeseen document disclosures, narrowed immunity interpretations, or abrupt policy reversals at the Justice Department before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$10,794結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects multiple structural barriers to charging a former president within the narrow remaining window. Presidential immunity for official acts, established by Supreme Court precedent, covers core executive decisions such as intelligence assessments during the 2016 transition. Statutes of limitations have expired on most potential offenses tied to that period, while documented grand jury reviews of Obama-era officials have produced no indictments against the former president himself. No new evidence or DOJ actions since mid-2025 have altered this trajectory. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain improbable but could include unforeseen document disclosures, narrowed immunity interpretations, or abrupt policy reversals at the Justice Department before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETTrader consensus reflects multiple structural barriers to charging a former president within the narrow remaining window. Presidential immunity for official acts, established by Supreme Court precedent, covers core executive decisions such as intelligence assessments during the 2016 transition. Statutes of limitations have expired on most potential offenses tied to that period, while documented grand jury reviews of Obama-era officials have produced no indictments against the former president himself. No new evidence or DOJ actions since mid-2025 have altered this trajectory. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain improbable but could include unforeseen document disclosures, narrowed immunity interpretations, or abrupt policy reversals at the Justice Department before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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