Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson maintains a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 15th congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Republican lean and his long tenure since 2009. The district supported the Republican presidential nominee by more than 20 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around R+19, with Thompson securing over 71 percent in the prior general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed from May 2026 primaries, but Thompson holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.6 million compared to Democratic nominee Ray Bilger's totals under $150,000. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,125 交易量
$26,125 交易量
2026-11-02
格倫·湯普森（共和黨）
95%
Ray Bilger（民主黨）
6%
$26,125 交易量
$26,125 交易量
2026-11-02
格倫·湯普森（共和黨）
$9,179 交易量
95%
Ray Bilger（民主黨）
$16,947 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson maintains a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 15th congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Republican lean and his long tenure since 2009. The district supported the Republican presidential nominee by more than 20 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around R+19, with Thompson securing over 71 percent in the prior general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed from May 2026 primaries, but Thompson holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.6 million compared to Democratic nominee Ray Bilger's totals under $150,000. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$26,125結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson maintains a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 15th congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Republican lean and his long tenure since 2009. The district supported the Republican presidential nominee by more than 20 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around R+19, with Thompson securing over 71 percent in the prior general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed from May 2026 primaries, but Thompson holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.6 million compared to Democratic nominee Ray Bilger's totals under $150,000. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,125結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Glenn Thompson maintains a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 15th congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Republican lean and his long tenure since 2009. The district supported the Republican presidential nominee by more than 20 points in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index around R+19, with Thompson securing over 71 percent in the prior general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed from May 2026 primaries, but Thompson holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.6 million compared to Democratic nominee Ray Bilger's totals under $150,000. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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