祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者

Name: 祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者
Start: 2026-03-20T14:36:06.874Z
End: 2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z

祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者 — 討論

brunoparis · 2026-03-20T14:36:06.874Z

關於祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

政治·祕魯

祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者

藤森惠子 99.4%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加 <1%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 <1%

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍 <1%

$1,877,012 交易量

2026-04-12

藤森惠子

$706,838 交易量

99%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加

$297,431 交易量

<1%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$170,312 交易量

<1%

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$4,173 交易量

<1%

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

$1,534 交易量

<1%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$20,342 交易量

<1%

尤尼·萊斯卡諾

$8,870 交易量

<1%

羅伯托·奇亞布拉

$1,814 交易量

<1%

荷西·威廉斯

$4,300 交易量

<1%

費爾南多·奧利維拉

$3,364 交易量

<1%

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·羅薩

$10,380 交易量

<1%

馬里索爾·佩雷斯·特略

$20,060 交易量

<1%

馬里奧·維茲卡拉

$2,989 交易量

<1%

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$10,756 交易量

<1%

荷西·盧納

$1,827 交易量

<1%

喬治·涅托

$158,504 交易量

<1%

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$7,040 交易量

<1%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$148,043 交易量

<1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

$95,014 交易量

<1%

喬治·福賽斯

$1,660 交易量

<1%

恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

$2,782 交易量

<1%

里卡多·貝爾蒙特

$193,793 交易量

<1%

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$5,185 交易量

<1%

藤森惠子 99.4%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加 <1%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 <1%

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍 <1%

$1,877,012 交易量

2026-04-12

藤森惠子

$706,838 交易量

99%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加

$297,431 交易量

<1%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$170,312 交易量

<1%

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$4,173 交易量

<1%

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

$1,534 交易量

<1%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$20,342 交易量

<1%

尤尼·萊斯卡諾

$8,870 交易量

<1%

羅伯托·奇亞布拉

$1,814 交易量

<1%

荷西·威廉斯

$4,300 交易量

<1%

費爾南多·奧利維拉

$3,364 交易量

<1%

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·羅薩

$10,380 交易量

<1%

馬里索爾·佩雷斯·特略

$20,060 交易量

<1%

馬里奧·維茲卡拉

$2,989 交易量

<1%

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$10,756 交易量

<1%

荷西·盧納

$1,827 交易量

<1%

喬治·涅托

$158,504 交易量

<1%

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$7,040 交易量

<1%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$148,043 交易量

<1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

$95,014 交易量

<1%

喬治·福賽斯

$1,660 交易量

<1%

恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

$2,782 交易量

<1%

里卡多·貝爾蒙特

$193,793 交易量

<1%

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$5,185 交易量

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "藤森惠子" at 99%, followed by "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" is "藤森惠子" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿里亞加" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.9 million traded on “祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 99¢ for "藤森惠子" in the "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 99% chance that "藤森惠子" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 99¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 1¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" market has an active community of 18 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者

祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (18)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者"?

What are the current odds for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者"?

How will "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" be resolved?

Can I follow "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者"?

What does a price of 99¢ for "藤森惠子" mean?

When does the "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者" market close?

What are traders saying about "祕魯總統選舉第一輪勝利者"?

What is Polymarket?