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政治·特朗普

Trump approval rating on April 10?

Market icon
政治·特朗普

Trump approval rating on April 10?

4月 4

4月 11

4月 4

4月 11

39.0–39.4 31%

38.5–38.9 30%

40.0–40.4 28%

40.5+ 24%

Polymarket
最新

39.0–39.4 31%

38.5–38.9 30%

40.0–40.4 28%

40.5+ 24%

Polymarket
最新

<38.5

$100 交易量

14%

38.5–38.9

$0 交易量

30%

39.0–39.4

$0 交易量

31%

39.5–39.9

$163 交易量

39%

40.0–40.4

$0 交易量

28%

40.5+

$0 交易量

24%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating, averaging around 41% in RealClearPolling's latest aggregate through early April 2026, reflects trader consensus for a similar figure on April 10 per Silver Bulletin's trend line, amid the ongoing partial government shutdown—the longest in U.S. history—and escalating tensions in the Iran war. Recent polls like CNN (38% approve) and Rasmussen (46%) show volatility, driven by gas prices exceeding $4 per gallon, rising mortgage rates, and economic disapproval hitting new lows at 31%. Trump's April 2 primetime address following Iranian missile strikes, coupled with Republican proposals to fund DHS and avert full shutdown, could influence short-term sentiment, though polls indicate persistent net disapproval near -16 points.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$263
結束日期
2026-04-11
市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating, averaging around 41% in RealClearPolling's latest aggregate through early April 2026, reflects trader consensus for a similar figure on April 10 per Silver Bulletin's trend line, amid the ongoing partial government shutdown—the longest in U.S. history—and escalating tensions in the Iran war. Recent polls like CNN (38% approve) and Rasmussen (46%) show volatility, driven by gas prices exceeding $4 per gallon, rising mortgage rates, and economic disapproval hitting new lows at 31%. Trump's April 2 primetime address following Iranian missile strikes, coupled with Republican proposals to fund DHS and avert full shutdown, could influence short-term sentiment, though polls indicate persistent net disapproval near -16 points.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$263
結束日期
2026-04-11
市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump approval rating on April 10?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "39.5–39.9" at 39%, followed by "39.0–39.4" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump approval rating on April 10?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump approval rating on April 10?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump approval rating on April 10?" is "39.5–39.9" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "39.0–39.4" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump approval rating on April 10?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.