Amid fragile ceasefire terms following Israel's strikes and the US-Iran war, direct high-level talks—the first since 1979—unfolded in Islamabad on April 11, involving US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian officials Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi. The 21-hour session ended without agreement on reopening the Strait of Hormuz or nuclear curbs, leading to a US naval blockade starting April 14. Pakistan mediates a potential second round imminently, as President Trump signals optimism for a deal despite sticking points on sanctions and escalation risks. No further meetings confirmed in the past 48 hours, with traders eyeing diplomatic breakthroughs or military developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,055,069 交易量
2026-04-30
4月15日
<1%
4月16日
1%
4月17日
8%
4月18日
22%
4月22日
72%
4月30日
89%
$1,055,069 交易量
4月15日
$74,657 交易量
<1%
4月16日
$84,663 交易量
1%
4月17日
$36,714 交易量
8%
4月18日
$522,155 交易量
22%
4月22日
$222,504 交易量
72%
4月30日
$114,629 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid fragile ceasefire terms following Israel's strikes and the US-Iran war, direct high-level talks—the first since 1979—unfolded in Islamabad on April 11, involving US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian officials Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi. The 21-hour session ended without agreement on reopening the Strait of Hormuz or nuclear curbs, leading to a US naval blockade starting April 14. Pakistan mediates a potential second round imminently, as President Trump signals optimism for a deal despite sticking points on sanctions and escalation risks. No further meetings confirmed in the past 48 hours, with traders eyeing diplomatic breakthroughs or military developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,055,069結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid fragile ceasefire terms following Israel's strikes and the US-Iran war, direct high-level talks—the first since 1979—unfolded in Islamabad on April 11, involving US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian officials Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi. The 21-hour session ended without agreement on reopening the Strait of Hormuz or nuclear curbs, leading to a US naval blockade starting April 14. Pakistan mediates a potential second round imminently, as President Trump signals optimism for a deal despite sticking points on sanctions and escalation risks. No further meetings confirmed in the past 48 hours, with traders eyeing diplomatic breakthroughs or military developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,055,069結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid fragile ceasefire terms following Israel's strikes and the US-Iran war, direct high-level talks—the first since 1979—unfolded in Islamabad on April 11, involving US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian officials Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi. The 21-hour session ended without agreement on reopening the Strait of Hormuz or nuclear curbs, leading to a US naval blockade starting April 14. Pakistan mediates a potential second round imminently, as President Trump signals optimism for a deal despite sticking points on sanctions and escalation risks. No further meetings confirmed in the past 48 hours, with traders eyeing diplomatic breakthroughs or military developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions