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icon for VEO 4由...發布？
科技·AI

VEO 4由...發布？

icon for VEO 4由...發布？
科技·AI

VEO 4由...發布？

$43,773 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$43,773 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$26 交易量

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google has not officially announced or released Veo 4 as of early June 2026, with its latest public video model remaining Veo 3.1 (including 3.1 Lite and Fast variants) accessible via Google AI Studio, Vertex AI, and Gemini integrations. Industry expectations had focused on a possible reveal at Google I/O in May, consistent with historical cadence of major model updates every five to seven months, but the conference highlighted Gemini Omni instead. Traders are monitoring competitive pressure from OpenAI’s Sora updates and other labs, alongside any developer previews, API listings, or executive statements that could signal an imminent launch. Resolution hinges on verifiable public availability or official confirmation of the next-generation model with expected advances in resolution, audio, and consistency.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$43,773
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google has not officially announced or released Veo 4 as of early June 2026, with its latest public video model remaining Veo 3.1 (including 3.1 Lite and Fast variants) accessible via Google AI Studio, Vertex AI, and Gemini integrations. Industry expectations had focused on a possible reveal at Google I/O in May, consistent with historical cadence of major model updates every five to seven months, but the conference highlighted Gemini Omni instead. Traders are monitoring competitive pressure from OpenAI’s Sora updates and other labs, alongside any developer previews, API listings, or executive statements that could signal an imminent launch. Resolution hinges on verifiable public availability or official confirmation of the next-generation model with expected advances in resolution, audio, and consistency.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$43,773
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"VEO 4由...發布？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 23%, followed by "1 月 31 日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "VEO 4由...發布？" has generated $43.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "VEO 4由...發布？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "VEO 4由...發布？" is "6月30日" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1 月 31 日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "VEO 4由...發布？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.