Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於12+ 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$85,583 交易量
$85,583 交易量
2026-04-30
0-2
否
3-5
否
6-8
否
9-11
否
12+
是
12+ 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$85,583 交易量
$85,583 交易量
2026-04-30
0-2
$16,970 交易量
否
3-5
$15,327 交易量
否
6-8
$17,025 交易量
否
9-11
$15,185 交易量
否
12+
$21,076 交易量
是
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$85,583結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
交易量
$85,583結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions