Alibaba’s Qwen series, particularly the qwen3.8-max-0902 variant, currently anchors third place among labs on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with an approximate 1681 Elo score, trailing only OpenAI and Anthropic. This positioning stems from sustained gains in agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks that reward multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative app building. Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max sits just behind at roughly 1674, keeping its odds alive but secondary. Lower probabilities for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others reflect their focus on broader frontier capabilities rather than specialized WebDev benchmarks. With September’s end approaching and no major model releases reported in the past week, trader consensus favors Alibaba’s established coding ecosystem and recent open-source tooling contributions to hold the third slot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿里巴巴 65%
Moonshot 19%
SpaceXAI 7.1%
OpenAI 3.0%
$46,607 交易量
$46,607 交易量
2026-09-30
阿里巴巴
65%
Moonshot
19%
SpaceXAI
7%
OpenAI
3%
字節跳動
2%
1%
MiniMax
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Anthropic
<1%
Poolside
<1%
小米
<1%
Meta
<1%
騰訊
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Thinky
<1%
阿里巴巴 65%
Moonshot 19%
SpaceXAI 7.1%
OpenAI 3.0%
$46,607 交易量
$46,607 交易量
2026-09-30
阿里巴巴
$14,701 交易量
65%
Moonshot
$11,083 交易量
19%
SpaceXAI
$2,515 交易量
7%
OpenAI
$2,233 交易量
3%
字節跳動
$1,090 交易量
2%
$1,334 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$568 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$1,240 交易量
1%
Z.ai
$1,691 交易量
<1%
Anthropic
$3,758 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$1,004 交易量
<1%
小米
$1,094 交易量
<1%
Meta
$1,427 交易量
<1%
騰訊
$1,049 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$779 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$1,040 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba’s Qwen series, particularly the qwen3.8-max-0902 variant, currently anchors third place among labs on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with an approximate 1681 Elo score, trailing only OpenAI and Anthropic. This positioning stems from sustained gains in agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks that reward multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative app building. Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max sits just behind at roughly 1674, keeping its odds alive but secondary. Lower probabilities for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others reflect their focus on broader frontier capabilities rather than specialized WebDev benchmarks. With September’s end approaching and no major model releases reported in the past week, trader consensus favors Alibaba’s established coding ecosystem and recent open-source tooling contributions to hold the third slot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$46,607結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba’s Qwen series, particularly the qwen3.8-max-0902 variant, currently anchors third place among labs on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with an approximate 1681 Elo score, trailing only OpenAI and Anthropic. This positioning stems from sustained gains in agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks that reward multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative app building. Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max sits just behind at roughly 1674, keeping its odds alive but secondary. Lower probabilities for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others reflect their focus on broader frontier capabilities rather than specialized WebDev benchmarks. With September’s end approaching and no major model releases reported in the past week, trader consensus favors Alibaba’s established coding ecosystem and recent open-source tooling contributions to hold the third slot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$46,607結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ETAlibaba’s Qwen series, particularly the qwen3.8-max-0902 variant, currently anchors third place among labs on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with an approximate 1681 Elo score, trailing only OpenAI and Anthropic. This positioning stems from sustained gains in agentic frontend and full-stack coding tasks that reward multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative app building. Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max sits just behind at roughly 1674, keeping its odds alive but secondary. Lower probabilities for OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others reflect their focus on broader frontier capabilities rather than specialized WebDev benchmarks. With September’s end approaching and no major model releases reported in the past week, trader consensus favors Alibaba’s established coding ecosystem and recent open-source tooling contributions to hold the third slot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions