Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority secured through 2025–2026 by-elections and floor crossings, with the party maintaining an approximately 11-point polling lead. Parliament resumes its fall sitting in September 2026 amid pending federal by-elections in several provinces and the October 5 Quebec provincial vote. The fixed-date election remains October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains authority to request dissolution earlier. Recent trade tensions with the United States have not eroded Liberal support, and no confidence motion or legislative crisis has emerged. Traders assessing the timing of the next general election therefore focus on Carney’s willingness to capitalize on current polling strength versus the stability of the majority and the absence of immediate triggers for an early dissolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$95,438 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
5%
$95,438 交易量
2026年12月31日
$3,781 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority secured through 2025–2026 by-elections and floor crossings, with the party maintaining an approximately 11-point polling lead. Parliament resumes its fall sitting in September 2026 amid pending federal by-elections in several provinces and the October 5 Quebec provincial vote. The fixed-date election remains October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains authority to request dissolution earlier. Recent trade tensions with the United States have not eroded Liberal support, and no confidence motion or legislative crisis has emerged. Traders assessing the timing of the next general election therefore focus on Carney’s willingness to capitalize on current polling strength versus the stability of the majority and the absence of immediate triggers for an early dissolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$95,438结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority secured through 2025–2026 by-elections and floor crossings, with the party maintaining an approximately 11-point polling lead. Parliament resumes its fall sitting in September 2026 amid pending federal by-elections in several provinces and the October 5 Quebec provincial vote. The fixed-date election remains October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains authority to request dissolution earlier. Recent trade tensions with the United States have not eroded Liberal support, and no confidence motion or legislative crisis has emerged. Traders assessing the timing of the next general election therefore focus on Carney’s willingness to capitalize on current polling strength versus the stability of the majority and the absence of immediate triggers for an early dissolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$95,438结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETPrime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority secured through 2025–2026 by-elections and floor crossings, with the party maintaining an approximately 11-point polling lead. Parliament resumes its fall sitting in September 2026 amid pending federal by-elections in several provinces and the October 5 Quebec provincial vote. The fixed-date election remains October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains authority to request dissolution earlier. Recent trade tensions with the United States have not eroded Liberal support, and no confidence motion or legislative crisis has emerged. Traders assessing the timing of the next general election therefore focus on Carney’s willingness to capitalize on current polling strength versus the stability of the majority and the absence of immediate triggers for an early dissolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题