Civil Contract's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects its persistent lead in recent polls, including surveys from early April 2026 showing the incumbent party ahead amid 30% undecided voters, bolstered by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's unanimous nomination as its leader on April 4. Fragmented opposition—spanning Armenia Alliance, Prosperous Armenia, and emerging challengers like Strong Armenia—struggles to consolidate under the closed-list proportional representation system, where securing the most seats determines the plurality winner ahead of the June 7 vote. Trader consensus credits government initiatives on health insurance expansion and EU ties, though scenarios like a late scandal, church reform backlash, or undecideds swinging to rivals could narrow the gap despite historical incumbent advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于公民契约党 90%
亚美尼亚联盟 6%
传统党 1.7%
亚美尼亚全国大会 1.6%
$104,440 交易量
$104,440 交易量
2026-06-07
公民契约党
90%
亚美尼亚联盟
6%
传统党
2%
亚美尼亚全国大会
2%
Hanrapetutyun党
2%
繁荣亚美尼亚党
1%
奥里纳茨·耶尔基尔
1%
我有荣耀联盟
1%
光明亚美尼亚党
<1%
公民契约党 90%
亚美尼亚联盟 6%
传统党 1.7%
亚美尼亚全国大会 1.6%
$104,440 交易量
$104,440 交易量
2026-06-07
公民契约党
$41,633 交易量
90%
亚美尼亚联盟
$49,748 交易量
6%
传统党
$1,870 交易量
2%
亚美尼亚全国大会
$2,115 交易量
2%
Hanrapetutyun党
$1,593 交易量
2%
繁荣亚美尼亚党
$1,663 交易量
1%
奥里纳茨·耶尔基尔
$1,916 交易量
1%
我有荣耀联盟
$1,514 交易量
1%
光明亚美尼亚党
$2,387 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects its persistent lead in recent polls, including surveys from early April 2026 showing the incumbent party ahead amid 30% undecided voters, bolstered by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's unanimous nomination as its leader on April 4. Fragmented opposition—spanning Armenia Alliance, Prosperous Armenia, and emerging challengers like Strong Armenia—struggles to consolidate under the closed-list proportional representation system, where securing the most seats determines the plurality winner ahead of the June 7 vote. Trader consensus credits government initiatives on health insurance expansion and EU ties, though scenarios like a late scandal, church reform backlash, or undecideds swinging to rivals could narrow the gap despite historical incumbent advantages.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
市场开放时间： Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
交易量
$104,440结束日期
2026-06-07市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects its persistent lead in recent polls, including surveys from early April 2026 showing the incumbent party ahead amid 30% undecided voters, bolstered by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's unanimous nomination as its leader on April 4. Fragmented opposition—spanning Armenia Alliance, Prosperous Armenia, and emerging challengers like Strong Armenia—struggles to consolidate under the closed-list proportional representation system, where securing the most seats determines the plurality winner ahead of the June 7 vote. Trader consensus credits government initiatives on health insurance expansion and EU ties, though scenarios like a late scandal, church reform backlash, or undecideds swinging to rivals could narrow the gap despite historical incumbent advantages.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
交易量
$104,440结束日期
2026-06-07市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects its persistent lead in recent polls, including surveys from early April 2026 showing the incumbent party ahead amid 30% undecided voters, bolstered by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's unanimous nomination as its leader on April 4. Fragmented opposition—spanning Armenia Alliance, Prosperous Armenia, and emerging challengers like Strong Armenia—struggles to consolidate under the closed-list proportional representation system, where securing the most seats determines the plurality winner ahead of the June 7 vote. Trader consensus credits government initiatives on health insurance expansion and EU ties, though scenarios like a late scandal, church reform backlash, or undecideds swinging to rivals could narrow the gap despite historical incumbent advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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