Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid budget protests and corruption allegations, perpetuating political deadlock. Recent polls from CAM, Sova Harris, and Gallup (early to mid-April 2026) project five to six parties crossing the 4% national threshold under proportional representation: Progressive Bulgaria (former President Rumen Radev's new anti-oligarch platform leading at 30-33%), GERB-SDS (19-23%), PP-DB (11-13%), DPS (10%), Revival (7%), and BSP-OL (4-4.5%). Intensified vote-buying crackdowns with arrests and over €1 million seized have heightened scrutiny, while PACE and OSCE observers monitor proceedings; high turnout could tip marginal contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$104,342 交易量

保加利亚社会党(BSP)
45%

MECh
22%

维利奇
10%

有这样一个人民(ITN)
2%

APS
2%
$104,342 交易量

保加利亚社会党(BSP)
45%

MECh
22%

维利奇
10%

有这样一个人民(ITN)
2%

APS
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid budget protests and corruption allegations, perpetuating political deadlock. Recent polls from CAM, Sova Harris, and Gallup (early to mid-April 2026) project five to six parties crossing the 4% national threshold under proportional representation: Progressive Bulgaria (former President Rumen Radev's new anti-oligarch platform leading at 30-33%), GERB-SDS (19-23%), PP-DB (11-13%), DPS (10%), Revival (7%), and BSP-OL (4-4.5%). Intensified vote-buying crackdowns with arrests and over €1 million seized have heightened scrutiny, while PACE and OSCE observers monitor proceedings; high turnout could tip marginal contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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