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政治·Jerome Powell

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

Market icon
政治·Jerome Powell

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 30–June 5 19%

June 6–12 17%

May 15–22 13%

June 27–July 3 11%

Polymarket
最新

May 30–June 5 19%

June 6–12 17%

May 15–22 13%

June 27–July 3 11%

Polymarket
最新

Before May 15

$81 交易量

6%

May 15–22

$60 交易量

13%

May 23–29

$21 交易量

8%

May 30–June 5

$40 交易量

19%

June 6–12

$59 交易量

17%

June 13–19

$0 交易量

9%

June 20–26

$0 交易量

8%

June 27–July 3

$0 交易量

11%

After July 3

$22 交易量

11%

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he stated in March he will serve in a holdover capacity until nominee Kevin Warsh receives Senate confirmation, driving trader consensus toward late May and early June outcomes amid a compressed timeline. President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Powell if he overstays has heightened uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing—delayed multiple times due to Democratic opposition from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren over his $100 million-plus assets, crypto holdings, and an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell—keeps probabilities tightly clustered. FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17 loom as potential catalysts; swift committee advancement could favor May 15-22 resolution, but holds from GOP Sens. like Thom Tillis or partisan gridlock may push into June.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$283
结束日期
2026-07-03
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he stated in March he will serve in a holdover capacity until nominee Kevin Warsh receives Senate confirmation, driving trader consensus toward late May and early June outcomes amid a compressed timeline. President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Powell if he overstays has heightened uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing—delayed multiple times due to Democratic opposition from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren over his $100 million-plus assets, crypto holdings, and an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell—keeps probabilities tightly clustered. FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17 loom as potential catalysts; swift committee advancement could favor May 15-22 resolution, but holds from GOP Sens. like Thom Tillis or partisan gridlock may push into June.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$283
结束日期
2026-07-03
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"May 30–June 5"，概率为 19%，其次是"June 6–12"，概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 19¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 19%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Apr 16, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"的当前领先者是"May 30–June 5"，概率为 19%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 19%。紧随其后的结果是"June 6–12"，概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。