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icon for 谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?

谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?

icon for 谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?

谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?

$14,914 交易量

2026-11-03
Polymarket

$14,914 交易量

Polymarket

Rakesh Christian

$1,675 交易量

No

Sean Collinson

$1,682 交易量

No

Josh Fryday

$505 交易量

No

Jeyson Lopez

$2,179 交易量

No

Fiona Ma

$1,185 交易量

Yes

David Collenberg

$1,038 交易量

No

David Fennell

$1,446 交易量

No

Janelle Kellman

$619 交易量

No

Ebie Lynch

$1,384 交易量

No

Oliver Ma

$1,680 交易量

No

Michael Tubbs

$1,521 交易量

No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's open lieutenant governor race features a nonpartisan top-two primary held June 2, 2026, with the incumbent term-limited and seeking another office. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Treasurer Fiona Ma, former Stockton mayor Michael Tubbs, and Newsom administration official Josh Fryday, split the party's vote share, enabling Republican Gloria Romero—running on a joint ticket with gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton—to secure second place behind Ma in early results. Polling prior to the primary showed Ma leading but with several contenders clustered closely behind, reflecting low voter visibility for the largely ceremonial role and emphasis on issues like higher education access. Vote counting continues, with the top two advancing to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,914
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's open lieutenant governor race features a nonpartisan top-two primary held June 2, 2026, with the incumbent term-limited and seeking another office. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Treasurer Fiona Ma, former Stockton mayor Michael Tubbs, and Newsom administration official Josh Fryday, split the party's vote share, enabling Republican Gloria Romero—running on a joint ticket with gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton—to secure second place behind Ma in early results. Polling prior to the primary showed Ma leading but with several contenders clustered closely behind, reflecting low voter visibility for the largely ceremonial role and emphasis on issues like higher education access. Vote counting continues, with the top two advancing to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,914
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

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常见问题

"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Fiona Ma",概率为 100%,其次是"Rakesh Christian",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"已产生 $14.9K 的总交易量(自May 14, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"的当前领先者是"Fiona Ma",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Rakesh Christian",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。