Xi Jinping has maintained firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges, including the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and other senior generals for alleged discipline violations. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption measures, have further centralized authority and removed potential rivals without triggering visible resistance or factional splits. No verified coup plots or organized challenges have emerged in the ensuing months, consistent with the CCP's opaque but stable leadership structures and emphasis on internal unity. Trader consensus at 97% for "No" before 2027 reflects this pattern of elite discipline and institutional safeguards. Remaining uncertainty centers on low-probability triggers such as Xi's sudden incapacity, acute economic shocks fracturing elite consensus, or unforeseen external crises that could expose latent divisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$153,576 交易量
$153,576 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$153,576 交易量
$153,576 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has maintained firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges, including the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and other senior generals for alleged discipline violations. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption measures, have further centralized authority and removed potential rivals without triggering visible resistance or factional splits. No verified coup plots or organized challenges have emerged in the ensuing months, consistent with the CCP's opaque but stable leadership structures and emphasis on internal unity. Trader consensus at 97% for "No" before 2027 reflects this pattern of elite discipline and institutional safeguards. Remaining uncertainty centers on low-probability triggers such as Xi's sudden incapacity, acute economic shocks fracturing elite consensus, or unforeseen external crises that could expose latent divisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$153,576结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has maintained firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges, including the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and other senior generals for alleged discipline violations. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption measures, have further centralized authority and removed potential rivals without triggering visible resistance or factional splits. No verified coup plots or organized challenges have emerged in the ensuing months, consistent with the CCP's opaque but stable leadership structures and emphasis on internal unity. Trader consensus at 97% for "No" before 2027 reflects this pattern of elite discipline and institutional safeguards. Remaining uncertainty centers on low-probability triggers such as Xi's sudden incapacity, acute economic shocks fracturing elite consensus, or unforeseen external crises that could expose latent divisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$153,576结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping has maintained firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges, including the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and other senior generals for alleged discipline violations. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption measures, have further centralized authority and removed potential rivals without triggering visible resistance or factional splits. No verified coup plots or organized challenges have emerged in the ensuing months, consistent with the CCP's opaque but stable leadership structures and emphasis on internal unity. Trader consensus at 97% for "No" before 2027 reflects this pattern of elite discipline and institutional safeguards. Remaining uncertainty centers on low-probability triggers such as Xi's sudden incapacity, acute economic shocks fracturing elite consensus, or unforeseen external crises that could expose latent divisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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