Xi Jinping's repeated purges of senior PLA officers, including the January 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have reinforced centralized control over the military and eliminated potential rivals, with official accounts emphasizing loyalty to the party rather than any challenge to leadership. These actions, part of broader anti-corruption drives since 2022, have produced no verified signs of organized resistance or factional revolt, consistent with the CCP's Leninist structure that prioritizes obedience and suppresses independent power bases. Trader consensus at 97% against a coup attempt before 2027 reflects this demonstrated consolidation of authority, the absence of public unrest or elite defections, and historical patterns where similar purges have stabilized rather than destabilized the regime. Even amid opacity that fuels occasional rumors, realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events affecting Xi, a severe economic downturn exposing governance failures, or an external crisis such as a failed Taiwan contingency that fractures internal cohesion before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$139,756 交易量
$139,756 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$139,756 交易量
$139,756 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's repeated purges of senior PLA officers, including the January 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have reinforced centralized control over the military and eliminated potential rivals, with official accounts emphasizing loyalty to the party rather than any challenge to leadership. These actions, part of broader anti-corruption drives since 2022, have produced no verified signs of organized resistance or factional revolt, consistent with the CCP's Leninist structure that prioritizes obedience and suppresses independent power bases. Trader consensus at 97% against a coup attempt before 2027 reflects this demonstrated consolidation of authority, the absence of public unrest or elite defections, and historical patterns where similar purges have stabilized rather than destabilized the regime. Even amid opacity that fuels occasional rumors, realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events affecting Xi, a severe economic downturn exposing governance failures, or an external crisis such as a failed Taiwan contingency that fractures internal cohesion before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$139,756结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's repeated purges of senior PLA officers, including the January 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have reinforced centralized control over the military and eliminated potential rivals, with official accounts emphasizing loyalty to the party rather than any challenge to leadership. These actions, part of broader anti-corruption drives since 2022, have produced no verified signs of organized resistance or factional revolt, consistent with the CCP's Leninist structure that prioritizes obedience and suppresses independent power bases. Trader consensus at 97% against a coup attempt before 2027 reflects this demonstrated consolidation of authority, the absence of public unrest or elite defections, and historical patterns where similar purges have stabilized rather than destabilized the regime. Even amid opacity that fuels occasional rumors, realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events affecting Xi, a severe economic downturn exposing governance failures, or an external crisis such as a failed Taiwan contingency that fractures internal cohesion before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$139,761结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's repeated purges of senior PLA officers, including the January 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have reinforced centralized control over the military and eliminated potential rivals, with official accounts emphasizing loyalty to the party rather than any challenge to leadership. These actions, part of broader anti-corruption drives since 2022, have produced no verified signs of organized resistance or factional revolt, consistent with the CCP's Leninist structure that prioritizes obedience and suppresses independent power bases. Trader consensus at 97% against a coup attempt before 2027 reflects this demonstrated consolidation of authority, the absence of public unrest or elite defections, and historical patterns where similar purges have stabilized rather than destabilized the regime. Even amid opacity that fuels occasional rumors, realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events affecting Xi, a severe economic downturn exposing governance failures, or an external crisis such as a failed Taiwan contingency that fractures internal cohesion before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题