Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97.1% trader consensus against a coup attempt before the end of 2026. Ongoing anti-corruption purges of senior military figures, including investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been interpreted by analysts as efforts to consolidate loyalty rather than evidence of successful challenges. Institutional mechanisms such as party discipline, surveillance, and personnel management have historically prevented elite fractures from escalating into open power grabs. While late-breaking developments like a sudden leadership health crisis, severe economic disruption, or sharp foreign-policy miscalculation could still create conditions for instability, verifiable reporting through mid-2026 shows no such tipping point has emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$138,520 交易量
$138,520 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$138,520 交易量
$138,520 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97.1% trader consensus against a coup attempt before the end of 2026. Ongoing anti-corruption purges of senior military figures, including investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been interpreted by analysts as efforts to consolidate loyalty rather than evidence of successful challenges. Institutional mechanisms such as party discipline, surveillance, and personnel management have historically prevented elite fractures from escalating into open power grabs. While late-breaking developments like a sudden leadership health crisis, severe economic disruption, or sharp foreign-policy miscalculation could still create conditions for instability, verifiable reporting through mid-2026 shows no such tipping point has emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$138,520结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97.1% trader consensus against a coup attempt before the end of 2026. Ongoing anti-corruption purges of senior military figures, including investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been interpreted by analysts as efforts to consolidate loyalty rather than evidence of successful challenges. Institutional mechanisms such as party discipline, surveillance, and personnel management have historically prevented elite fractures from escalating into open power grabs. While late-breaking developments like a sudden leadership health crisis, severe economic disruption, or sharp foreign-policy miscalculation could still create conditions for instability, verifiable reporting through mid-2026 shows no such tipping point has emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$138,520结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97.1% trader consensus against a coup attempt before the end of 2026. Ongoing anti-corruption purges of senior military figures, including investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been interpreted by analysts as efforts to consolidate loyalty rather than evidence of successful challenges. Institutional mechanisms such as party discipline, surveillance, and personnel management have historically prevented elite fractures from escalating into open power grabs. While late-breaking developments like a sudden leadership health crisis, severe economic disruption, or sharp foreign-policy miscalculation could still create conditions for instability, verifiable reporting through mid-2026 shows no such tipping point has emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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