Xi Jinping’s extensive anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army, including the early 2026 investigation of senior General Zhang Youxia, have further centralized authority under the Chinese Communist Party leadership and eliminated potential rivals, reinforcing trader consensus that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Opaque elite politics and repeated military shakeups have historically strengthened rather than undermined Xi’s position, with no verified challenges or factional resistance emerging by mid-2026. The 21st Party Congress in 2027 could surface succession tensions, yet current institutional controls and surveillance mechanisms limit realistic pathways for organized action. External shocks or health developments remain low-probability variables that could still shift assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$139,486 交易量
$139,486 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$139,486 交易量
$139,486 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army, including the early 2026 investigation of senior General Zhang Youxia, have further centralized authority under the Chinese Communist Party leadership and eliminated potential rivals, reinforcing trader consensus that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Opaque elite politics and repeated military shakeups have historically strengthened rather than undermined Xi’s position, with no verified challenges or factional resistance emerging by mid-2026. The 21st Party Congress in 2027 could surface succession tensions, yet current institutional controls and surveillance mechanisms limit realistic pathways for organized action. External shocks or health developments remain low-probability variables that could still shift assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$139,486结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army, including the early 2026 investigation of senior General Zhang Youxia, have further centralized authority under the Chinese Communist Party leadership and eliminated potential rivals, reinforcing trader consensus that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Opaque elite politics and repeated military shakeups have historically strengthened rather than undermined Xi’s position, with no verified challenges or factional resistance emerging by mid-2026. The 21st Party Congress in 2027 could surface succession tensions, yet current institutional controls and surveillance mechanisms limit realistic pathways for organized action. External shocks or health developments remain low-probability variables that could still shift assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$139,486结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army, including the early 2026 investigation of senior General Zhang Youxia, have further centralized authority under the Chinese Communist Party leadership and eliminated potential rivals, reinforcing trader consensus that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Opaque elite politics and repeated military shakeups have historically strengthened rather than undermined Xi’s position, with no verified challenges or factional resistance emerging by mid-2026. The 21st Party Congress in 2027 could surface succession tensions, yet current institutional controls and surveillance mechanisms limit realistic pathways for organized action. External shocks or health developments remain low-probability variables that could still shift assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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