Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th congressional district heading into the 2026 midterm cycle, reflected in the market's heavy Democratic lean. The district has trended more reliably Democratic in recent general elections after narrow 2022 margins, bolstered by Hayes's incumbency and name recognition. Republicans face an August 11 primary between Jonathan De Barros and Chris Shea that has yet to produce a consensus challenger capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates favoring incumbents in this district absent major national swings or unforeseen developments. A late surge in Republican turnout, primary consolidation around a high-profile candidate, or broader midterm dynamics could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,565 交易量
94%
共和党
$2,580 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th congressional district heading into the 2026 midterm cycle, reflected in the market's heavy Democratic lean. The district has trended more reliably Democratic in recent general elections after narrow 2022 margins, bolstered by Hayes's incumbency and name recognition. Republicans face an August 11 primary between Jonathan De Barros and Chris Shea that has yet to produce a consensus challenger capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates favoring incumbents in this district absent major national swings or unforeseen developments. A late surge in Republican turnout, primary consolidation around a high-profile candidate, or broader midterm dynamics could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$6,145结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th congressional district heading into the 2026 midterm cycle, reflected in the market's heavy Democratic lean. The district has trended more reliably Democratic in recent general elections after narrow 2022 margins, bolstered by Hayes's incumbency and name recognition. Republicans face an August 11 primary between Jonathan De Barros and Chris Shea that has yet to produce a consensus challenger capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates favoring incumbents in this district absent major national swings or unforeseen developments. A late surge in Republican turnout, primary consolidation around a high-profile candidate, or broader midterm dynamics could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,145结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 5th congressional district heading into the 2026 midterm cycle, reflected in the market's heavy Democratic lean. The district has trended more reliably Democratic in recent general elections after narrow 2022 margins, bolstered by Hayes's incumbency and name recognition. Republicans face an August 11 primary between Jonathan De Barros and Chris Shea that has yet to produce a consensus challenger capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates favoring incumbents in this district absent major national swings or unforeseen developments. A late surge in Republican turnout, primary consolidation around a high-profile candidate, or broader midterm dynamics could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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