Recent forecasts from multiple models show Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on September 11 likely peaking near 18–19°C under persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating and advects cooler maritime air. This follows a brief early-September warm spell that saw a 22.5°C peak on the 2nd, with subsequent cooling evident in official observations. Easterly winds and high humidity further suppress diurnal rise, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region. Trader positioning, led by 19°C at 36.5% implied probability, aligns closely with these consensus model runs ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings that will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
19°C 38%
20°C 22%
18°C 19%
17°C 9%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
19%
19°C
38%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 38%
20°C 22%
18°C 19%
17°C 9%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
19%
19°C
38%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models show Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on September 11 likely peaking near 18–19°C under persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating and advects cooler maritime air. This follows a brief early-September warm spell that saw a 22.5°C peak on the 2nd, with subsequent cooling evident in official observations. Easterly winds and high humidity further suppress diurnal rise, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region. Trader positioning, led by 19°C at 36.5% implied probability, aligns closely with these consensus model runs ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings that will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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