Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 84-89°F for Houston's highest temperature on March 27, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on 86-88°F peaks amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas. This setup promotes adiabatic warming and subsidence, differentiating upper-80s outcomes from cooler 82-83°F via minimal cloud interference and Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures near 72°F fueling low-level moisture without widespread showers. Recent 00Z runs nudged forecasts 1-2°F higher than prior ensembles, outpacing historical March averages of 77°F, though urban heat island effects and afternoon boundary layer mixing add 0.5-1°F uncertainty; watch 12Z updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
88-89°F 35%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 27%
90-91°F 16%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
17%
88-89°F 35%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 27%
90-91°F 16%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 84-89°F for Houston's highest temperature on March 27, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on 86-88°F peaks amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas. This setup promotes adiabatic warming and subsidence, differentiating upper-80s outcomes from cooler 82-83°F via minimal cloud interference and Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures near 72°F fueling low-level moisture without widespread showers. Recent 00Z runs nudged forecasts 1-2°F higher than prior ensembles, outpacing historical March averages of 77°F, though urban heat island effects and afternoon boundary layer mixing add 0.5-1°F uncertainty; watch 12Z updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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