Trader sentiment on Seattle's March 28 high temperature clusters tightly around 54-59°F, with 56-57°F leading at 26% implied probability, reflecting blended guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 55-57°F amid a weak upper-level ridge fostering mild conditions. Differentiating factors include model divergences—the cooler HRRR short-range forecast at 54°F due to persistent marine stratus clouds versus the warmer Euro run projecting 58-60°F from offshore flow—against Seattle's late-March climatology of 52-56°F averages at Sea-Tac Airport. Uncertainty stems from diurnal cloud evolution and Puget Sound moderation, with evening 00Z model updates poised to sway odds as official observations resolve via ASOS measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 28?
56-57°F 27%
58-59°F 22%
54-55°F 21%
60-61°F 16%
51°F or below
13%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
11%
70°F or higher
11%
56-57°F 27%
58-59°F 22%
54-55°F 21%
60-61°F 16%
51°F or below
13%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
11%
70°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Seattle's March 28 high temperature clusters tightly around 54-59°F, with 56-57°F leading at 26% implied probability, reflecting blended guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 55-57°F amid a weak upper-level ridge fostering mild conditions. Differentiating factors include model divergences—the cooler HRRR short-range forecast at 54°F due to persistent marine stratus clouds versus the warmer Euro run projecting 58-60°F from offshore flow—against Seattle's late-March climatology of 52-56°F averages at Sea-Tac Airport. Uncertainty stems from diurnal cloud evolution and Puget Sound moderation, with evening 00Z model updates poised to sway odds as official observations resolve via ASOS measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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