Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts for Taipei's highest temperature on March 28, with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS implying peaks of 22–25°C under mild northeasterly flow and subtropical high pressure. The slight edge to 23°C stems from yesterday's updated CWA guidance citing cooler marine air moderating urban heat island effects, while 25°C gains from historical late-March averages (23.5°C) and potential afternoon solar heating. Differentiating factors include subtle wind shear variations and sea breeze timing, which could swing peaks by 1–2°C; 22°C or lower reflects risks from lingering clouds post-front, per NOAA analogs. Watch today's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
23°C 32%
25°C 31%
22°C 24%
21°C 17%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
7%
21°C
14%
22°C
18%
23°C
25%
24°C
16%
25°C
25%
26°C or higher
7%
23°C 32%
25°C 31%
22°C 24%
21°C 17%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
7%
21°C
14%
22°C
18%
23°C
25%
24°C
16%
25°C
25%
26°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts for Taipei's highest temperature on March 28, with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS implying peaks of 22–25°C under mild northeasterly flow and subtropical high pressure. The slight edge to 23°C stems from yesterday's updated CWA guidance citing cooler marine air moderating urban heat island effects, while 25°C gains from historical late-March averages (23.5°C) and potential afternoon solar heating. Differentiating factors include subtle wind shear variations and sea breeze timing, which could swing peaks by 1–2°C; 22°C or lower reflects risks from lingering clouds post-front, per NOAA analogs. Watch today's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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