Trader sentiment favors 26°C (33%) and 27°C (26%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 26-27°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. These outcomes edge out 25°C (18%) due to Shenzhen's urban heat island effect amplifying nighttime lows into daytime highs, with historical March averages around 24°C but recent weeks 2-3°C above normal from lingering El Niño influences. Model spread introduces uncertainty—ICON runs cooler at ~25°C—while low cloud cover or afternoon sea breezes could cap peaks below 27°C, keeping lower options viable but trader consensus tilts warmer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 26?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 26?
26°C 34%
27°C 26%
28°C 14%
25°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
18%
26°C
34%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
6%
26°C 34%
27°C 26%
28°C 14%
25°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
18%
26°C
34%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 26°C (33%) and 27°C (26%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 26-27°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. These outcomes edge out 25°C (18%) due to Shenzhen's urban heat island effect amplifying nighttime lows into daytime highs, with historical March averages around 24°C but recent weeks 2-3°C above normal from lingering El Niño influences. Model spread introduces uncertainty—ICON runs cooler at ~25°C—while low cloud cover or afternoon sea breezes could cap peaks below 27°C, keeping lower options viable but trader consensus tilts warmer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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