Trader sentiment favors a high of 24°C or higher in Chongqing on March 28 at 25.5% implied probability, propelled by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks of 22-25°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the Yangtze basin. This edges out clustered 19-23°C outcomes (13-17.5% each), as seasonal March averages hover near 18°C but recent observations show above-normal anomalies from urban heat island effects and low cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon convective showers risking a 2-3°C suppression and model spread reflecting terrain-induced microclimates in Chongqing's hilly topography, with official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration key to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
24°C or higher 25%
20°C 20%
21°C 19%
19°C 18%
14°C or below
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
19%
22°C
15%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
25%
24°C or higher 25%
20°C 20%
21°C 19%
19°C 18%
14°C or below
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
19%
22°C
15%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors a high of 24°C or higher in Chongqing on March 28 at 25.5% implied probability, propelled by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks of 22-25°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the Yangtze basin. This edges out clustered 19-23°C outcomes (13-17.5% each), as seasonal March averages hover near 18°C but recent observations show above-normal anomalies from urban heat island effects and low cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon convective showers risking a 2-3°C suppression and model spread reflecting terrain-induced microclimates in Chongqing's hilly topography, with official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration key to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题