Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Chongqing high temperature of 19-22°C on March 27, with 20-21°C edging ahead at over 47% combined implied probability, reflecting ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS forecasts peaking near 20.5°C amid spring frontal passages. Differentiating factors include the city's basin topography, which boosts daytime radiative heating by 1-2°C above surrounding areas, versus moderating influences from mid-level troughs capping ascent and introducing scattered clouds that could shave 1°C off peaks. Historical data from the Chongqing station shows March 27 averages of 19.2°C (1981-2010 baseline), with recent warming trends adding 0.5-1°C; latest 12Z runs show minimal spread, but afternoon insolation and urban heat island effects remain pivotal for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
21°C 25%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
22°C 23%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
14%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
25%
22°C
23%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 25%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
22°C 23%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
14%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
25%
22°C
23%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Chongqing high temperature of 19-22°C on March 27, with 20-21°C edging ahead at over 47% combined implied probability, reflecting ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS forecasts peaking near 20.5°C amid spring frontal passages. Differentiating factors include the city's basin topography, which boosts daytime radiative heating by 1-2°C above surrounding areas, versus moderating influences from mid-level troughs capping ascent and introducing scattered clouds that could shave 1°C off peaks. Historical data from the Chongqing station shows March 27 averages of 19.2°C (1981-2010 baseline), with recent warming trends adding 0.5-1°C; latest 12Z runs show minimal spread, but afternoon insolation and urban heat island effects remain pivotal for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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