Trader sentiment on Denver's highest temperature March 28 tilts toward warmth, with 80°F or higher leading at 34% implied probability, driven by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs forecasting a potent upper-level ridge amplifying downslope chinook winds over the Front Range. National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 76-79°F under sunny skies, well above the March 28 climatological average of 58°F, but model spread introduces uncertainty—cooler Euro outliers suggest possible cloud intrusions capping at 70-73°F (18-24% odds). Key variables include ridge amplitude for extreme heat (80+°F), mid-level trough timing for moderation (74-77°F cluster at 41% combined), and residual snowpack evaporation limiting spikes below 72°F (15.5% for 61°F or less). Upcoming 12z model updates could sharpen odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 34%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
61°F or below
14%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
22%
80°F or higher
34%
80°F or higher 34%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
61°F or below
14%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
22%
80°F or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Denver's highest temperature March 28 tilts toward warmth, with 80°F or higher leading at 34% implied probability, driven by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs forecasting a potent upper-level ridge amplifying downslope chinook winds over the Front Range. National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 76-79°F under sunny skies, well above the March 28 climatological average of 58°F, but model spread introduces uncertainty—cooler Euro outliers suggest possible cloud intrusions capping at 70-73°F (18-24% odds). Key variables include ridge amplitude for extreme heat (80+°F), mid-level trough timing for moderation (74-77°F cluster at 41% combined), and residual snowpack evaporation limiting spikes below 72°F (15.5% for 61°F or less). Upcoming 12z model updates could sharpen odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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