Trader consensus on Denver's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 76-83°F, driven by major weather models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF converging on upper 70s to low 80s amid a robust high-pressure ridge over the Rockies. The National Weather Service pins the official forecast at 76°F with sunny skies, but ensemble spreads differentiate outcomes: GFS runs skew hotter toward 80-81°F via stronger downslope winds enhancing adiabatic compression warming, while ECMWF favors 76-77°F with subtle marine layer influences from the west. Low precipitation odds (under 10%) and clear skies boost diurnal heating potential, though afternoon cloud development could cap peaks, explaining the razor-thin 15-16% implied probabilities across these bins against cooler historical late-March norms of 57°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
80-81°F 25%
82-83°F 20%
78-79°F 16%
76-77°F 16%
71°F or below
4%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 25%
82-83°F 20%
78-79°F 16%
76-77°F 16%
71°F or below
4%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Denver's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 76-83°F, driven by major weather models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF converging on upper 70s to low 80s amid a robust high-pressure ridge over the Rockies. The National Weather Service pins the official forecast at 76°F with sunny skies, but ensemble spreads differentiate outcomes: GFS runs skew hotter toward 80-81°F via stronger downslope winds enhancing adiabatic compression warming, while ECMWF favors 76-77°F with subtle marine layer influences from the west. Low precipitation odds (under 10%) and clear skies boost diurnal heating potential, though afternoon cloud development could cap peaks, explaining the razor-thin 15-16% implied probabilities across these bins against cooler historical late-March norms of 57°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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