Ensemble weather models from NOAA and ECMWF are driving trader sentiment toward a highest temperature of 54-55°F in Denver on March 27, with 28.5% implied probability, as a lingering cool front introduces cloud cover and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Slightly lower odds for 50-51°F (22%) and 52-53°F (20.5%) reflect model spread in frontal timing and boundary layer mixing, where earlier cloud arrival could drop peaks below 52°F, while delayed clearing favors the mid-50s. Historical March 27 averages hover near 56°F, but current 500-mb trough positioning favors below-normal temps; watch 18Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official DEN airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
54-55°F 27%
50-51°F 22%
52-53°F 20%
56-57°F 11%
49°F or below
8%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
6%
68°F or higher
2%
54-55°F 27%
50-51°F 22%
52-53°F 20%
56-57°F 11%
49°F or below
8%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
20%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
6%
68°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from NOAA and ECMWF are driving trader sentiment toward a highest temperature of 54-55°F in Denver on March 27, with 28.5% implied probability, as a lingering cool front introduces cloud cover and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Slightly lower odds for 50-51°F (22%) and 52-53°F (20.5%) reflect model spread in frontal timing and boundary layer mixing, where earlier cloud arrival could drop peaks below 52°F, while delayed clearing favors the mid-50s. Historical March 27 averages hover near 56°F, but current 500-mb trough positioning favors below-normal temps; watch 18Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using official DEN airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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