The market's leading odds for Dallas hitting 68°F or higher on March 28 (48% implied probability) are driven by the National Weather Service's short-range forecast, projecting highs near 70°F amid ridging high pressure aloft and southwesterly winds advecting warm Gulf moisture. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models has converged on upper 60s outcomes, consistent with March climatology averages of 67°F at DFW Airport, following a recent cold frontal passage that cleared skies for enhanced diurnal heating. Lower bins like 66-67°F (16.5%) account for lingering model spread in boundary layer mixing and potential thin cirrus cover, with traders eyeing 12Z updates against official ASOS observations for precise resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
68°F or higher 52%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
62-63°F 8%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
47%
68°F or higher 52%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
62-63°F 8%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's leading odds for Dallas hitting 68°F or higher on March 28 (48% implied probability) are driven by the National Weather Service's short-range forecast, projecting highs near 70°F amid ridging high pressure aloft and southwesterly winds advecting warm Gulf moisture. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models has converged on upper 60s outcomes, consistent with March climatology averages of 67°F at DFW Airport, following a recent cold frontal passage that cleared skies for enhanced diurnal heating. Lower bins like 66-67°F (16.5%) account for lingering model spread in boundary layer mixing and potential thin cirrus cover, with traders eyeing 12Z updates against official ASOS observations for precise resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题