Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 28 remains fragmented across outcomes, with 22°C or higher leading at 27.5% due to the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a high near 21-23°C amid persistent southerly winds and high pressure ridging over central China. Recent developments, including a stalled frontal boundary dissipating per China Meteorological Administration updates, have boosted warmer odds while tempering extremes below 12°C (19.1%). Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS hotter by 2-3°C than cooler ICON runs—urban heat island amplification in Wuhan, and seasonal norms of 16-19°C, with uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation and capping peaks around 20°C. Key watch: 00Z model runs tonight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
12°C or below 39.7%
22°C or higher 31%
21°C 18%
18°C 17%
12°C or below
20%
13°C
13%
14°C
14%
15°C
16%
16°C
16%
17°C
16%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
31%
12°C or below 39.7%
22°C or higher 31%
21°C 18%
18°C 17%
12°C or below
20%
13°C
13%
14°C
14%
15°C
16%
16°C
16%
17°C
16%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 28 remains fragmented across outcomes, with 22°C or higher leading at 27.5% due to the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a high near 21-23°C amid persistent southerly winds and high pressure ridging over central China. Recent developments, including a stalled frontal boundary dissipating per China Meteorological Administration updates, have boosted warmer odds while tempering extremes below 12°C (19.1%). Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS hotter by 2-3°C than cooler ICON runs—urban heat island amplification in Wuhan, and seasonal norms of 16-19°C, with uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation and capping peaks around 20°C. Key watch: 00Z model runs tonight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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