Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21–24°C for Wuhan's March 27 high, driven by ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting mild conditions amid southerly airflow advection from warmer Yangtze regions. Late March climatology averages 16–18°C highs, but current upper-air patterns favor anomalies of +4–6°C, elevating 23°C (23.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) over cooler 21°C (23.0%). Recent developments include a 2°C warm-up in the past 48 hours per China Meteorological Administration data, with low cloud cover probabilities differentiating upper outcomes from 24°C (21.0%). Model spread (±2°C) and frontal timing introduce uncertainty, pending final 00Z updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
22°C 23%
23°C 23%
21°C 22%
24°C 19%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
13%
21°C
22%
22°C
23%
23°C
23%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
7%
22°C 23%
23°C 23%
21°C 22%
24°C 19%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
13%
21°C
22%
22°C
23%
23°C
23%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21–24°C for Wuhan's March 27 high, driven by ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting mild conditions amid southerly airflow advection from warmer Yangtze regions. Late March climatology averages 16–18°C highs, but current upper-air patterns favor anomalies of +4–6°C, elevating 23°C (23.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) over cooler 21°C (23.0%). Recent developments include a 2°C warm-up in the past 48 hours per China Meteorological Administration data, with low cloud cover probabilities differentiating upper outcomes from 24°C (21.0%). Model spread (±2°C) and frontal timing introduce uncertainty, pending final 00Z updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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