Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 74-81°F, driven primarily by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF forecasts projecting peaks of 78-82°F under a developing high-pressure ridge off the California coast, which suppresses marine layer clouds and boosts daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on Santa Ana wind strength—stronger offshore flow favors 80-81°F (23.5% implied odds) by enhancing adiabatic warming, while persistent onshore breezes cap highs at 74-77°F (leading at 22.5-21.5%). Historical March norms average 72°F, but urban heat island effects and post-El Niño warmth add 2-4°F upside risk; watch Thursday's 12Z GFS update for resolution shifts amid low ensemble variance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
74-75°F 22%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
67°F or below
17%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
18%
74-75°F 22%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
67°F or below
17%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 74-81°F, driven primarily by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF forecasts projecting peaks of 78-82°F under a developing high-pressure ridge off the California coast, which suppresses marine layer clouds and boosts daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on Santa Ana wind strength—stronger offshore flow favors 80-81°F (23.5% implied odds) by enhancing adiabatic warming, while persistent onshore breezes cap highs at 74-77°F (leading at 22.5-21.5%). Historical March norms average 72°F, but urban heat island effects and post-El Niño warmth add 2-4°F upside risk; watch Thursday's 12Z GFS update for resolution shifts amid low ensemble variance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题