Trader sentiment on Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 hinges on ensemble forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, converging around 71-73°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, with moderating marine layer onshore flow preventing hotter outcomes. The razor-thin lead for 72-73°F (22.5%) over 70-71°F (21.0%) reflects subtle model divergences: thicker coastal stratus clouds in recent 12z runs cap peaks near 71°F, while slight ridging amplification could yield 73°F under clearer skies. Historical March highs at LAX average 70°F, but current dewpoint-temperature spreads favor mild warmth; 74-75°F odds (16.5%) hinge on unexpected Santa Ana gusts, per NWS short-range outlooks, with 18z updates poised to refine probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
72-73°F 24%
74-75°F 18%
70-71°F 17%
67°F or below 6.2%
$15,533 交易量
$15,533 交易量
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 24%
74-75°F 18%
70-71°F 17%
67°F or below 6.2%
$15,533 交易量
$15,533 交易量
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 hinges on ensemble forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, converging around 71-73°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, with moderating marine layer onshore flow preventing hotter outcomes. The razor-thin lead for 72-73°F (22.5%) over 70-71°F (21.0%) reflects subtle model divergences: thicker coastal stratus clouds in recent 12z runs cap peaks near 71°F, while slight ridging amplification could yield 73°F under clearer skies. Historical March highs at LAX average 70°F, but current dewpoint-temperature spreads favor mild warmth; 74-75°F odds (16.5%) hinge on unexpected Santa Ana gusts, per NWS short-range outlooks, with 18z updates poised to refine probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题