Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, with 22°C or below at 23.5% slightly edging out nearby outcomes around 23-28°C, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near 23-24°C. A passing cool front this week has brought cloudy conditions and northeasterly winds, capping solar heating and temperatures below the March historical average of 24°C, while ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly on cloud break-up potential that could push highs toward 25-26°C. Light showers add variability to surface observations at Taipei's official stations. Updated CWA guidance expected by evening could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
22°C or below 24%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
15%
28°C
17%
29°C
14%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
22°C or below 24%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
15%
28°C
17%
29°C
14%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, with 22°C or below at 23.5% slightly edging out nearby outcomes around 23-28°C, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near 23-24°C. A passing cool front this week has brought cloudy conditions and northeasterly winds, capping solar heating and temperatures below the March historical average of 24°C, while ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly on cloud break-up potential that could push highs toward 25-26°C. Light showers add variability to surface observations at Taipei's official stations. Updated CWA guidance expected by evening could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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