Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place Buenos Aires' March 29 high temperature in a tight 28-31°C range, mirroring trader consensus with 15-25% implied probabilities atop 31°C, 30°C, and 29°C outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging fosters subsidence aloft and mostly sunny conditions favoring upper-30s peaks, but moderating sea breezes from the Río de la Plata and possible afternoon cumulus clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating these close contenders. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged slightly cooler from prior 32°C+ signals amid dry antecedent conditions, though diurnal heating vigor remains key. Traders await today's 12Z updates for potential shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
31°C 23%
29°C 23%
30°C 22%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
16%
29°C
23%
30°C
22%
31°C
25%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
8%
31°C 23%
29°C 23%
30°C 22%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
16%
29°C
23%
30°C
22%
31°C
25%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place Buenos Aires' March 29 high temperature in a tight 28-31°C range, mirroring trader consensus with 15-25% implied probabilities atop 31°C, 30°C, and 29°C outcomes. Persistent subtropical ridging fosters subsidence aloft and mostly sunny conditions favoring upper-30s peaks, but moderating sea breezes from the Río de la Plata and possible afternoon cumulus clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating these close contenders. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged slightly cooler from prior 32°C+ signals amid dry antecedent conditions, though diurnal heating vigor remains key. Traders await today's 12Z updates for potential shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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