Trader sentiment favors 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (25%) as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks around 27-28°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for enhanced daytime heating. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional aligns with this, estimating 26-29°C amid neutral La Niña conditions, while historical March 27 maxima average 27°C with a standard deviation of 2°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon boundary layer mixing—favoring 27°C if sea breezes moderate coastal advection, versus 28°C with fuller insolation—and upcoming 12Z runs that could shift probabilities if low-level moisture alters radiative cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
27°C 28%
28°C 23%
29°C 17%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
28%
28°C
23%
29°C
17%
30°C
12%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
28°C 23%
29°C 17%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
28%
28°C
23%
29°C
17%
30°C
12%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (25%) as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks around 27-28°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for enhanced daytime heating. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional aligns with this, estimating 26-29°C amid neutral La Niña conditions, while historical March 27 maxima average 27°C with a standard deviation of 2°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon boundary layer mixing—favoring 27°C if sea breezes moderate coastal advection, versus 28°C with fuller insolation—and upcoming 12Z runs that could shift probabilities if low-level moisture alters radiative cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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