Trader sentiment favors a 27°C high in Buenos Aires on March 26 at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C (22%) and 26°C (19%), driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing peaks in the 26.5–28.2°C range amid a weakening subtropical ridge. The Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest outlook aligns with mild advection of warm air from the north, tempered by southerly sea breezes that could shave 1–2°C off peaks, explaining the tight clustering. Historical late-March maxima average 26°C, with urban heat island effects adding ~1°C variability; diurnal model spread and soil moisture deficits differentiate outcomes, pending afternoon convective updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
27°C 30%
28°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 13%
$14,958 交易量
$14,958 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
30%
28°C
22%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 30%
28°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 13%
$14,958 交易量
$14,958 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
30%
28°C
22%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors a 27°C high in Buenos Aires on March 26 at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C (22%) and 26°C (19%), driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing peaks in the 26.5–28.2°C range amid a weakening subtropical ridge. The Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest outlook aligns with mild advection of warm air from the north, tempered by southerly sea breezes that could shave 1–2°C off peaks, explaining the tight clustering. Historical late-March maxima average 26°C, with urban heat island effects adding ~1°C variability; diurnal model spread and soil moisture deficits differentiate outcomes, pending afternoon convective updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题