Trader sentiment clusters around 24-26°C for Beijing's March 26 high temperature, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks in this range under a high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly winds. Differentiating the frontrunners—25°C (30%) over 26°C (25.5%) and 24°C (22.5%)—hinges on subtle variations in cloud cover and peak solar insolation, with ensemble means slightly favoring 25°C amid urban heat island amplification in the capital. Recent developments include yesterday's 22°C high exceeding seasonal norms, but diel temperature lags and potential afternoon haze introduce uncertainty, keeping lower outcomes viable per historical spring volatility. Upcoming hourly observations from official stations will resolve tight market odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
25°C 31%
26°C 25%
24°C 23%
23°C 17%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
17%
24°C
23%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 31%
26°C 25%
24°C 23%
23°C 17%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
17%
24°C
23%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 24-26°C for Beijing's March 26 high temperature, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks in this range under a high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly winds. Differentiating the frontrunners—25°C (30%) over 26°C (25.5%) and 24°C (22.5%)—hinges on subtle variations in cloud cover and peak solar insolation, with ensemble means slightly favoring 25°C amid urban heat island amplification in the capital. Recent developments include yesterday's 22°C high exceeding seasonal norms, but diel temperature lags and potential afternoon haze introduce uncertainty, keeping lower outcomes viable per historical spring volatility. Upcoming hourly observations from official stations will resolve tight market odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题