Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a daytime high near 24°C in Taipei on March 26, driving trader consensus with 34% implied probability on that outcome amid scattered showers and moderate southerly winds capping peaks. Historical March averages hover at 23-24°C, but high uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and potential cold fronts, as seen in ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS showing spreads of 2-3°C. Lower odds for 27°C+ (13%) reflect low heat dome risk, while sub-23°C chances (under 7% combined) align with slim chances of stronger northerly outflows; watch CWA's 18Z update for shifts in convective activity influencing final maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
24°C 36%
23°C 21%
25°C 17%
26°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
21%
24°C
36%
25°C
17%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
14%
24°C 36%
23°C 21%
25°C 17%
26°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
21%
24°C
36%
25°C
17%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a daytime high near 24°C in Taipei on March 26, driving trader consensus with 34% implied probability on that outcome amid scattered showers and moderate southerly winds capping peaks. Historical March averages hover at 23-24°C, but high uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and potential cold fronts, as seen in ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS showing spreads of 2-3°C. Lower odds for 27°C+ (13%) reflect low heat dome risk, while sub-23°C chances (under 7% combined) align with slim chances of stronger northerly outflows; watch CWA's 18Z update for shifts in convective activity influencing final maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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